Welcome back. Hope the week ahead is good to you.
Builders are building, and I genuinely do not expect you to read this. I know you are busy. Honestly, I am just doing my creative work, and - not going to lie - I am enjoying it. (quite a lot.)
If you do tho, and it does land, the ask is always the same - forward it to one person.
EVERYBODY SHIPS NOW. NOBODY HAS USERS.
Something I keep hearing, and I heard it again this week from my own developers.
Compared to six or twelve months ago, the team is shipping dramatically more. They did not ge tbetter. It just happens that Claude writes most of the code now. The bottleneck moved. It is no longer can we build this - it is do we understand what to build and has someone confirmed they need it.
I am not a coder. I do not have the skill and I am not going to acquire it at this stage of my life. There is a version of me that feels like he is missing out, watching everyone ship at ten times the old speed while I am… talking to people on calls.
Then I remember that talking to people is the part that did not get automated.
Look across Reddit (kudos I really like the platform, not much slop there yet), X, anywhere builders gather, and you find the same complaint underneath the excitement: everybody now has a fuck-ton of software and zero users. Shipping stopped being the hard part. Distribution and attention became the entire game.
Same thing with content. AI means anyone can generate unlimited volume. So volume is worthless. Only distribution counts.
Now let me apply that honestly to myself, because it would be very easy not to.
I could tell you I do not know another crypto newsletter shipping every single week, and that this consistency is my differentiator. It is a nice sentence. It is probably also wrong, because everybody is drowning in information and standing out is close to impossible no matter what you produce.
Everybody can build now. Almost nobody can be found.
So why do I keep doing it? Because it is what keeps us credible and remembered. When someone finally needs to find new teams, I want them to think of Quants.Space before anyone else. Maybe not today. But if we keep pushing like this for years, we get rewarded eventually.
That is the only honest reason: if I disappear, nobody will remember us.
Hold that thought, because the rest of this edition is the same problem, wearing a different suit.
THE BEST QUANTS I'M SEEING AREN'T IN CRYPTO
Here is what has been on my mind all week.
There is an entire universe of strategies trading on contracts-for-difference brokers. Enormous numbers of them. And some are performing meaningfully better than the quant strategies in our current digital-asset universe, which is the category we operate in every day.
I want to be precise about what I am saying. Not better than the best crypto teams. But better than a lot of them, with longer records, and trading in markets… gold, oil, the commodity complex - where the edge has been formed over decades and is less crowded than crypto basis.
These are excellent managers. And they are almost impossible to convince to come across.
The technical ask is small. It is a change of broker. The actual ask is enormous, because the people allocating to CFD managers and the people allocating on Binance are completely different universes. Not a different address book. A different business model.
The CFD side runs on introducing-broker economics - rebates, spread sharing, volume. A-book & B-book. The digital-asset SMA side runs on fee-on-AUM plus performance. Those are two different companies wearing the same job title. Asking a CFD manager to switch venue is asking him to rebuild his revenue model, his counterparty relationships, and his entire idea of who his client is.
And it is the same story one level up, which I have written about before - the allocator who writes into a fund structure is a completely different beast from the allocator who writes into an SMA. Different universes, barely overlapping. Similar to Fund of Funds and SMAs.
THE BRIDGE NOBODY IS BUILDING
Here is what I actually do not understand, and I will say plainly that I might be wrong.
These managers appear to be missing a very specific thing. Infrastructure.
Binance, Bitget, and the rest already allow a manager to run his own strategy on their venue. The strategy logic usually ports fine. What does not port is everything around it.
The CFD world runs on MetaTrader and broker-side FIX. Crypto runs on exchange REST and WebSocket APIs with different symbology, funding mechanics, and no concept of a broker sitting in between. A book written for MT5 does not move across. Somebody has to rewrite the plumbing, and nobody wants to be the one paying for that.
So the strategies sit where they are. The bridge does not exist.
If you are looking for something to build in this space right now, that is my honest suggestion. There is a clear, chargeable value transfer directly to the trading team. Whoever cracks venue-to-venue migration properly - CFD to exchange, without the manager rebuilding his stack - has a real business. And I will give you dozens of these opportunities alone.
And what those managers would be walking into is genuinely better than what they have.
They would be walking into the stablecoin build-out, which has stopped being a theory. Crypto card spending crossed $1.04bn in a single month in July, more than triple a year earlier, with RedotPay, ether.fi and KAST alone accounting for roughly 77% of tracked volume, and RedotPay projecting around $50bn annually by 2028. That is retail-scale infrastructure appearing under an asset class that had none of it five years ago. (Worth noting the largest number in that dataset is self-reported rather than observed on-chain, so treat the precision loosely - the direction / trend is what matters.)
And they would be walking into collateral treatment that does not exist anywhere in their current world. Binance Portfolio Margin accepts over 350 assets as joint collateral, with BTC carrying roughly a 95% rate, PnL offsetting across products. Every major venue now runs some version of unified margin. Ask a CFD manager what his broker lets him post as collateral and the answer is cash. That is a structural upgrade in capital efficiency.
One honest warning to anyone reading this and getting excited: the haircut is a policy variable, not a property of the asset. Binance has reset collateral ratios in coordinated batches, affecting open positions, more than once this year. If you are migrating a book that was sized for cash margin, model the collateral cut before you model the returns. That is the thing that will hurt you first, and nobody on the crypto side will warn you about it because we all learned it the expensive way.
AND TRADFI IS ALREADY WALKING TOWARD YOU
Now a part makes me confident this is a trend rather than a hunch, and it is not coming from my seat… it is coming from theirs.
Traditional allocators are moving hard toward SMAs. Barclays surveyed 340 investors representing $8.7 trillion and found roughly a third already have SMA exposure, with 54% of allocators running more than $5bn in hedge fund assets planning to increase it - against just 14% of the smaller ones. Fund-of-funds are the keenest of all. Investors who use SMAs typically allocate 20–30% more per manager than those who do not. AIMA is calling it an SMA renaissance. IQ-EQ says nearly half of new hedge fund launches now start life as an SMA.
Read that list of reasons again: transparency, control over liquidity, customisation, capital efficiency, no custody handover.
That is a description of a crypto SMA. TradFi spent two decades building toward a structure that digital assets arrived at by default, because we never had the option of pooling anything with anyone we trusted.
My feeling is that digital assets are influencing this more than anyone in traditional finance will admit out loud.
Meanwhile the demand side is lining up in the same direction. Physical commodities are being called the biggest diversification play of 2026, with large firms and start-ups both hunting for alpha that standard quant approaches cannot easily reach.
So: allocators want SMAs. Allocators want commodities alpha. And I have exceptional commodity CFD managers in my inbox who cannot reach them.
That gap closes within twelve months, or somebody is leaving a lot of money on the table.
I CAN TELL IN FIVE MINUTES
Last thought, from a conversation this week with a friend who sits close to all of this.
A lot of teams are inflating their numbers. AUM, sub-accounts, how much capital they actually manage versus how much they have been shown.
By now I can usually tell within the first five minutes.
I am not that clever but I genuinely have a benchmark. I know what the genuinely institutional teams are running - the ones with real closing rates, who tick every box, who have been doing this for years. So when someone with three or four months of live track record tells me he is managing a similar figure, and I have never heard his name from a single allocator, the conversation has already answered itself.
Good bye.
Understand the asymmetry here, because I do not think people think it through. Verification is subjective - AUM is not. Take one team to ten allocators and you get ten different verification standards. But AUM is a single number that the market can cross-check, and it is the easiest thing in your entire pitch to get caught on.
Nobody lies about their Sharpe on the first call. They lie about their AUM.
And there is no version of this where it works out. Barclays found that investors allocate to roughly 5% of the managers they meet. Five percent. You are already fighting a ninety-five percent rejection rate on merit alone, and you are choosing to introduce a verifiable falsehood into the first five minutes.
If you inflate the number and it holds, you get into a room you were not ready for. If it does not hold, you are done - and not just with that allocator, because this industry is far smaller than it looks.
You do not need a bigger number. You need a real one, and enough patience to grow it.
BEFORE YOU GO
We are getting significant inbound from CFD managers right now - mostly very early emerging teams who have never touched institutional capital and are trying to work out how. I cannot do much with most of them yet, because we are still heavily focused on digital assets. But it is coming, and we are building toward it. The platform is turning into a network connecting the quantitative trading world rather than one vertical of it, and there are new products landing next quarter.
If you are an allocator looking for teams, or a team looking for the right allocator universe - or if you are the person who is going to build that bridge - come and talk to us. [email protected]
Stay honest. Stay true to yourself. Stay in the game long enough.
Stay patient. Stay honest. Stay alive.
See you next week.
Quants.Space is an institutional discovery engine for systematic and discretionary trading strategies — 130+ independent, world-class quantitative and discretionary trading teams, each with vetted track records and unique alpha sources, plus a dedicated Emerging Managers sector for early-stage teams. Our mission is simple: connect institutional capital and allocators directly with best-in-class teams, all within a secure Separately Managed Account (SMA) framework. If you're an allocator active in the SMA space, or a team opening SMA capacity for institutional tickets, get in touch at [email protected].
